Basic Concepts of Probability
1.
a. \(\{b, c\}\)
b. \(\{a\}\)
c. \(\emptyset\)
3.
a. \(H=\{h h h, h h t, h t h, h t t, t h h, t h t, t t h\}, M=\{h h h, h h t, h t h, t h h\}\)
b. \(H \cap M=\{h h h, h h t, h t h, t h h\}, H \cup M=H, H^{c}=\{t t t\}\)
c. \(P(H \cap M)=4 / 8, P(H \cup M)=7 / 8, P\left(H^{c}\right)=1 / 8\)
d. Mutually exclusive because they have no elements in common.
5.
a. \(B=\{b 1, b 2, b 3, b 4\}, R=\{r 1, r 2, r 3, r 4\}, N=\{b 1, b 2, y 1, y 2, g 1, g 2, r 1, r 2\}\)
b. \(B \cap R=\emptyset, B \cup R=\{b 1, b 2, b 3, b 4, r 1, r 2, r 3, r 4\}, B \cap N=\{b 1, b 2\}\)
\(R \cup N=\{b 1, b 2, y 1, y 2, g 1, g 2, r 1, r 2, r 3, r 4\}\)
\(B^{c}=\{y 1, y 2, y 3, y 4, g 1, g 2, g 3, g 4, r 1, r 2, r 3, r 4\}\)
\((B \cup R)^{c}=\{y 1, y 2, y 3, y 4, g 1, g 2, g 3, g 4\}\)
c. \(P(B \cap R)=0, P(B \cup R)=8 / 16, P(B \cap N)=2 / 16, P(R \cup N)=10 / 16\),
\(P\left(B^{c}\right)=12 / 16, P\left((B \cup R)^{c}\right)=8 / 16\)
d. Not mutually exclusive because they have an element in common.
7.
a. \(0.36\)
b. \(0.78\)
c. \(0.64\)
d. \(0.27\)
e. \(0.87\)
9.
a. \(P(A)=0.38, P(B)=0.62, P(A \cap B)=0\)
b. \(P(U)=0.37, P(W)=0.33, P(U \cap W)=0\)
c. \(0.7\)
d. \(0.7\)
e. \(A\) and \(U\) are not mutually exclusive because \(P(A \cap U)\) is the nonzero number \(0.15 . A\) and \(V\) are mutually exclusive because \(P(A \cap V)=0\).
11.
a. "four or less"
b. "an odd number"
c. "no heads" or "all tails"
d. "a freshman"
13.
a. "All the children are boys".
Event: \(\{b b g, b g b, b g g, g b b, g b g, g g b, g g g\}\)
Complement: \(\{b b b\}\)
b. "At least two of the children are girls" or "There are two or three girls".
Event: \(\{b b b, b b g, b g b, g b b\}\),
Complement: \(\{b g g, g b g, g g b, g g g\}\)
c. "At least one child is a boy".
Event: \(\{g g g\}\),
Complement: \(\{b b b, b b g, b g b, b g g, g b b, g b g, g g b\}\)
d. "There are either no girls, exactly one girl, or three girls".
Event: \(\{b g g, g b g, g g b\}\),
Complement: \(\{b b b, b b g, b g b, g b b, g g g\}\)
e. "The first born is a boy".
Event: \(\{g b b, g b g, g g b, g g g\}\),
Complement: \(\{b b b, b b g, b g b, b g g\}\)
15. 0.47
17.
a. \(0.0023\)
b. \(0.9977\)
C. \(0.0009\)
d. \(0.3014\)
19.
a. \(920 / 1671\)
b. \(668 / 1671\)
c. \(368 / 1671\)
d. \(1220 / 1671\)
e. \(1003 / 1671\)
21.
a. \(\{h h h\}\)
b. \(\{h h t, h t h, h t t, t h h, t h t, t t h, t t t\}\)
c. \(\{t t t\}\)