Great Depression: Turning Point and Recovery
Socio-Economic Effects
An impoverished American family living in a shanty, 1936
The
majority of countries set up relief programs and most underwent some
sort of political upheaval, pushing them to the right. Many of the
countries in Europe and Latin America that were democracies saw them
overthrown by some form of dictatorship or authoritarian rule, most
famously in Germany in 1933. The Dominion of Newfoundland gave up
democracy voluntarily.
Australia
Australia's dependence on agricultural and industrial exports meant it was one of the hardest-hit developed countries. Falling export demand and commodity prices placed massive downward pressures on wages. Unemployment reached a record high of 29% in 1932, with incidents of civil unrest becoming common. After 1932, an increase in wool and meat prices led to a gradual recovery.
Canada
Unemployed men march in Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Harshly
affected by both the global economic downturn and the Dust Bowl,
Canadian industrial production had by 1932 fallen to only 58% of its
1929 figure, the second-lowest level in the world after the United
States, and well behind countries such as Britain, which fell to only
83% of the 1929 level. Total national income fell to 56% of the 1929
level, again worse than any country apart from the United States.
Unemployment reached 27% at the depth of the Depression in 1933.
Chile
The
League of Nations labeled Chile the country hardest hit by the Great
Depression because 80% of government revenue came from exports of copper
and nitrates, which were in low demand. Chile initially felt the impact
of the Great Depression in 1930, when GDP dropped 14%, mining income
declined 27%, and export earnings fell 28%. By 1932, GDP had shrunk to
less than half of what it had been in 1929, exacting a terrible toll in
unemployment and business failures.
Influenced profoundly by the
Great Depression, many government leaders promoted the development of
local industry in an effort to insulate the economy from future external
shocks. After six years of government austerity measures, which
succeeded in reestablishing Chile's creditworthiness, Chileans elected
to office during the 1938–58 period a succession of center and
left-of-center governments interested in promoting economic growth
through government intervention.
Prompted in part by the
devastating 1939 Chillán earthquake, the Popular Front government of
Pedro Aguirre Cerda created the Production Development Corporation
(Corporación de Fomento de la Producción, CORFO) to encourage with
subsidies and direct investments an ambitious program of import
substitution industrialization. Consequently, as in other Latin American
countries, protectionism became an entrenched aspect of the Chilean
economy.
China
China was largely unaffected by the Depression, mainly by having stuck to the Silver standard. However, the U.S. silver purchase act of 1934 created an intolerable demand on China's silver coins, and so, in the end, the silver standard was officially abandoned in 1935 in favor of the four Chinese national banks' "legal note" issues. China and the British colony of Hong Kong, which followed suit in this regard in September 1935, would be the last to abandon the silver standard.
In addition, the Nationalist Government also acted energetically to modernize the legal and penal systems, stabilize prices, amortize debts, reform the banking and currency systems, build railroads and highways, improve public health facilities, legislate against traffic in narcotics and augment industrial and agricultural production. On November 3, 1935, the government instituted the fiat currency (fapi) reform, immediately stabilizing prices and also raising revenues for the government.
European African Colonies
The sharp fall in commodity prices, and the steep decline in exports, hurt the economies of the European colonies in Africa and Asia. The agricultural sector was especially hard hit. For example, sisal had recently become a major export crop in Kenya and Tanganyika. During the depression, it suffered severely from low prices and marketing problems that affected all colonial commodities in Africa. Sisal producers established centralized controls for the export of their fibre.
There was
widespread unemployment and hardship among peasants, labourers, colonial
auxiliaries, and artisans. The budgets of colonial governments
were cut, which forced the reduction in ongoing infrastructure projects,
such as the building and upgrading of roads, ports and
communications. The budget cuts delayed the schedule for creating
systems of higher education.
The depression severely hurt
the export-based Belgian Congo economy because of the drop in
international demand for raw materials and for agricultural products.
For example, the price of peanuts fell from 125 to 25 centimes. In some
areas, as in the Katanga mining region, employment declined by 70%. In
the country as a whole, the wage labour force decreased by 72.000 and
many men returned to their villages. In Leopoldville, the population
decreased by 33%, because of this labour migration.
Political
protests were not common. However, there was a growing demand that the
paternalistic claims be honored by colonial governments to respond
vigorously. The theme was that economic reforms were more urgently
needed than political reforms. French West Africa launched an
extensive program of educational reform in which "rural schools"
designed to modernize agriculture would stem the flow of under-employed
farm workers to cites where unemployment was high. Students were trained
in traditional arts, crafts, and farming techniques and were then
expected to return to their own villages and towns.
France
The
crisis affected France a bit later than other countries, hitting hard
around 1931. While the 1920s grew at the very strong rate of 4.43%
per year, the 1930s rate fell to only 0.63%.
The depression
was relatively mild: unemployment peaked under 5%, the fall in
production was at most 20% below the 1929 output; there was no banking
crisis.
However, the depression had drastic effects on the
local economy, and partly explains the February 6, 1934 riots and even
more the formation of the Popular Front, led by SFIO socialist leader
Léon Blum, which won the elections in 1936. Ultra-nationalist groups
also saw increased popularity, although democracy prevailed into World
War II.
France's relatively high degree of self-sufficiency meant
the damage was considerably less than in neighbouring states like
Germany.
Germany
Adolf Hitler speaking in 1935
The
Great Depression hit Germany hard. The impact of the Wall Street Crash
forced American banks to end the new loans that had been funding the
repayments under the Dawes Plan and the Young Plan. The financial crisis
escalated out of control in mid-1931, starting with the collapse of the
Credit Anstalt in Vienna in May. This put heavy pressure on
Germany, which was already in political turmoil with the rise in
violence of Nazi and communist movements, as well as with investor
nervousness at harsh government financial policies. Investors
withdrew their short-term money from Germany, as confidence spiraled
downward.
The Reichsbank lost 150 million marks in the first week of June, 540 million in the second, and 150 million in two days, June 19–20. Collapse was at hand. U.S. President Herbert Hoover called for a moratorium on Payment of war reparations. This angered Paris, which depended on a steady flow of German payments, but it slowed the crisis down, and the moratorium was agreed to in July 1931. An international conference in London later in July produced no agreements but on August 19 a standstill agreement froze Germany's foreign liabilities for six months.
Germany received emergency funding from private banks in New
York as well as the Bank of International Settlements and the Bank of
England. The funding only slowed the process. Industrial failures began
in Germany, a major bank closed in July and a two-day holiday for all
German banks was declared. Business failures became more frequent in
July, and spread to Romania and Hungary.
In 1932, 90% of
German reparation payments were cancelled (in the 1950s, Germany repaid
all its missed reparations debts). Widespread unemployment reached 25%
as every sector was hurt. The government did not increase government
spending to deal with Germany's growing crisis, as they were afraid that
a high-spending policy could lead to a return of the hyperinflation
that had affected Germany in 1923. Germany's Weimar Republic was hit
hard by the depression, as American loans to help rebuild the German
economy now stopped.
The unemployment rate reached nearly 30% in
1932, bolstering support for the Nazi (NSDAP) and Communist (KPD)
parties, causing the collapse of the politically centrist Social
Democratic Party. Hitler ran for the Presidency in 1932, and while he
lost to the incumbent Hindenburg in the election, it marked a point
during which both Nazi Party and the Communist parties rose in the years
following the crash to altogether possess a Reichstag majority
following the general election in July 1932.
Hitler
followed an autarky economic policy, creating a network of client states
and economic allies in central Europe and Latin America. By cutting
wages and taking control of labor unions, plus public works spending,
unemployment fell significantly by 1935. Large-scale military spending
played a major role in the recovery.
Greece
The reverberations of the Great Depression hit Greece in 1932. The Bank of Greece tried to adopt deflationary policies to stave off the crises that were going on in other countries, but these largely failed. For a brief period, the drachma was pegged to the U.S. dollar, but this was unsustainable given the country's large trade deficit and the only long-term effects of this were Greece's foreign exchange reserves being almost totally wiped out in 1932.
Remittances from abroad declined
sharply and the value of the drachma began to plummet from 77 drachmas
to the dollar in March 1931 to 111 drachmas to the dollar in April 1931.
This was especially harmful to Greece as the country relied on imports
from the UK, France, and the Middle East for many necessities. Greece
went off the gold standard in April 1932 and declared a moratorium on
all interest payments. The country also adopted protectionist policies
such as import quotas, which several European countries did during the
period.
Protectionist policies coupled with a weak drachma,
stifling imports, allowed the Greek industry to expand during the Great
Depression. In 1939, the Greek industrial output was 179% that of 1928.
These industries were for the most part "built on sand" as one report of
the Bank of Greece put it, as without massive protection they would not
have been able to survive. Despite the global depression, Greece
managed to suffer comparatively little, averaging an average growth rate
of 3.5% from 1932 to 1939. The dictatorial regime of Ioannis Metaxas
took over the Greek government in 1936, and economic growth was strong
in the years leading up to the Second World War.
Iceland
Icelandic post-World War I prosperity came to an end with the outbreak of the Great Depression. The Depression hit Iceland hard as the value of exports plummeted. The total value of Icelandic exports fell from 74 million kronur in 1929 to 48 million in 1932, and was not to rise again to the pre-1930 level until after 1939.
Government interference in the economy increased: "Imports were regulated, trade with foreign currency was monopolized by state-owned banks, and loan capital was largely distributed by state-regulated funds". Due to the outbreak of the Spanish Civil War, which cut Iceland's exports of saltfish by half, the Depression lasted in Iceland until the outbreak of World War II (when prices for fish exports soared).
India
How much India was affected has been hotly debated. Historians have argued that the Great Depression slowed long-term industrial development. Apart from two sectors - jute and coal - the economy was little affected. However, there were major negative impacts on the jute industry, as world demand fell and prices plunged. Otherwise, conditions were fairly stable. Local markets in agriculture and small-scale industry showed modest gains.
Ireland
Frank Barry and Mary E. Daly have argued that:
Ireland was a largely agrarian economy, trading almost exclusively with the UK, at the time of the Great Depression. Beef and dairy products comprised the bulk of exports, and Ireland fared well relative to many other commodity producers, particularly in the early years of the depression.
Italy
Benito Mussolini giving a speech at the Fiat Lingotto factory in Turin, 1932
The
Great Depression hit Italy very hard. As industries came close to
failure they were bought out by the banks in a largely illusionary
bail-out - the assets used to fund the purchases were largely worthless.
This led to a financial crisis peaking in 1932 and major government
intervention. The Industrial Reconstruction Institute (IRI) was formed
in January 1933 and took control of the bank-owned companies, suddenly
giving Italy the largest state-owned industrial sector in Europe
(excluding the USSR). IRI did rather well with its new
responsibilities - restructuring, modernising and rationalising as much as
it could. It was a significant factor in post-1945 development. But it
took the Italian economy until 1935 to recover the manufacturing levels
of 1930 - a position that was only 60% better than that of 1913.
Japan
The
Great Depression did not strongly affect Japan. The Japanese economy
shrank by 8% during 1929–31. Japan's Finance Minister Takahashi Korekiyo
was the first to implement what have come to be identified as Keynesian
economic policies: first, by large fiscal stimulus involving deficit
spending; and second, by devaluing the currency. Takahashi used the Bank
of Japan to sterilize the deficit spending and minimize resulting
inflationary pressures. Econometric studies have identified the fiscal
stimulus as especially effective.
The devaluation of the
currency had an immediate effect. Japanese textiles began to displace
British textiles in export markets. The deficit spending proved to be
most profound and went into the purchase of munitions for the armed
forces. By 1933, Japan was already out of the depression. By 1934,
Takahashi realized that the economy was in danger of overheating, and to
avoid inflation, moved to reduce the deficit spending that went towards
armaments and munitions.
This resulted in a strong and swift
negative reaction from nationalists, especially those in the army,
culminating in his assassination in the course of the February 26
Incident. This had a chilling effect on all civilian bureaucrats in the
Japanese government. From 1934, the military's dominance of the
government continued to grow. Instead of reducing deficit spending, the
government introduced price controls and rationing schemes that reduced,
but did not eliminate inflation, which remained a problem until the end
of World War II.
The deficit spending had a transformative
effect on Japan. Japan's industrial production doubled during the 1930s.
Further, in 1929 the list of the largest firms in Japan was dominated
by light industries, especially textile companies (many of Japan's
automakers, such as Toyota, have their roots in the textile industry).
By 1940 light industry had been displaced by heavy industry as the
largest firms inside the Japanese economy.
Latin America
Because
of high levels of U.S. investment in Latin American economies, they
were severely damaged by the Depression. Within the region, Chile,
Bolivia and Peru were particularly badly affected.
Before
the 1929 crisis, links between the world economy and Latin American
economies had been established through American and British investment
in Latin American exports to the world. As a result, Latin Americans
export industries felt the depression quickly. World prices for
commodities such as wheat, coffee and copper plunged. Exports from all
of Latin America to the U.S. fell in value from $1.2 billion in 1929 to
$335 million in 1933, rising to $660 million in 1940.
But on the
other hand, the depression led the area governments to develop new local
industries and expand consumption and production. Following the example
of the New Deal, governments in the area approved regulations and
created or improved welfare institutions that helped millions of new
industrial workers to achieve a better standard of living.
Middle East and North Africa
The Great Depression had severe impacts across the Middle East and North Africa, including economic decline which led to social unrest.
Netherlands
From roughly 1931 to 1937, the Netherlands suffered a deep and exceptionally long depression. This depression was partly caused by the after-effects of the American stock-market crash of 1929, and partly by internal factors in the Netherlands. Government policy, especially the very late dropping of the Gold Standard, played a role in prolonging the depression.
The Great Depression in the Netherlands led to some political instability and riots, and can be linked to the rise of the Dutch fascist political party NSB. The depression in the Netherlands eased off somewhat at the end of 1936, when the government finally dropped the Gold Standard, but real economic stability did not return until after World War II.
New Zealand
New Zealand was especially vulnerable to worldwide depression, as it relied almost entirely on agricultural exports to the United Kingdom for its economy. The drop in exports led to a lack of disposable income from the farmers, who were the mainstay of the local economy. Jobs disappeared and wages plummeted, leaving people desperate and charities unable to cope.
Work relief schemes were the only government support available to the unemployed, the rate of which by the early 1930s was officially around 15%, but unofficially nearly twice that level (official figures excluded Māori and women). In 1932, riots occurred among the unemployed in three of the country's main cities (Auckland, Dunedin, and Wellington). Many were arrested or injured through the tough official handling of these riots by police and volunteer "special constables".
Poland
Poland
was affected by the Great Depression longer and stronger than other
countries due to inadequate economic response of the government and the
pre-existing economic circumstances of the country. At that time, Poland
was under the authoritarian rule of Sanacja, whose leader, Józef
Piłsudski, was opposed to leaving the gold standard until his death in
1935. As a result, Poland was unable to perform a more active monetary
and budget policy. Additionally, Poland was a relatively young country
that emerged merely 10 years earlier after being partitioned between
German, Russian and the Austro-Hungarian Empires for over a century.
Prior to independence, the Russian part exported 91% of its exports to
Russia proper, while the German part exported 68% to Germany proper.
After independence, these markets were largely lost, as Russia
transformed into USSR that was mostly a closed economy, and Germany was
in a tariff war with Poland throughout the 1920s.
Industrial
production fell significantly: in 1932 hard coal production was down
27% compared to 1928, steel production was down 61%, and iron ore
production noted a 89% decrease. On the other hand,
electrotechnical, leather, and paper industries noted marginal increases
in production output. Overall, industrial production decreased by
41%. A distinct feature of the Great Depression in Poland was the
de-concentration of industry, as larger conglomerates were less flexible
and paid their workers more than smaller ones.
Unemployment rate
rose significantly (up to 43%) while nominal wages fell by 51% in 1933
and 56% in 1934, relative to 1928. However, real wages fell less due to
the government's policy of decreasing cost of living, particularly food
expenditures (food prices were down by 65% in 1935 compared to 1928
price levels). Material conditions deprivation led to strikes, some of
them violent or violently pacified - like in Sanok (March of the Hungry
in Sanok March 6, 1930), Lesko county (Lesko uprising June 21 –
July 9, 1932) and Zawiercie (Bloody Friday (1930) April 18, 1930).
To
adopt to the crisis, Polish government employed deflation methods such
as high interest rates, credit limits and budget austerity to keep a
fixed exchange rate with currencies tied to the gold standard. Only in
late 1932 the government created a plan to fight the economic
crisis. Part of the plan was mass public works scheme, employing up
to 100,000 people in 1935. After Piłsudski's death, in 1936 the
gold standard regime was relaxed, and launching the development of the
Central Industrial Region kicked off the economy, to over 10% annual
growth rate in the 1936-1938 period.
Portugal
Already under the rule of a dictatorial junta, the Ditadura Nacional, Portugal suffered no turbulent political effects of the Depression, although António de Oliveira Salazar, already appointed Minister of Finance in 1928 greatly expanded his powers and in 1932 rose to Prime Minister of Portugal to found the Estado Novo, an authoritarian corporatist dictatorship. With the budget balanced in 1929, the effects of the depression were relaxed through harsh measures towards budget balance and autarky, causing social discontent but stability and, eventually, an impressive economic growth.
Puerto Rico
In the years immediately preceding the depression, negative developments in the island and world economies perpetuated an unsustainable cycle of subsistence for many Puerto Rican workers. The 1920s brought a dramatic drop in Puerto Rico's two primary exports, raw sugar and coffee, due to a devastating hurricane in 1928 and the plummeting demand from global markets in the latter half of the decade.
1930 unemployment on the island was roughly 36% and by 1933 Puerto Rico's per capita income dropped 30% (by comparison, unemployment in the United States in 1930 was approximately 8% reaching a height of 25% in 1933).
To provide relief and economic reform, the United States government and Puerto Rican politicians such as Carlos Chardon and Luis Muñoz Marín created and administered first the Puerto Rico Emergency Relief Administration (PRERA) 1933 and then in 1935, the Puerto Rico Reconstruction Administration (PRRA).
Romania
Romania was also affected by the Great Depression.
South Africa
As world trade slumped, demand for South African agricultural and mineral exports fell drastically. The Carnegie Commission on Poor Whites had concluded in 1931 that nearly one-third of Afrikaners lived as paupers. The social discomfort caused by the depression was a contributing factor in the 1933 split between the "gesuiwerde" (purified) and "smelter" (fusionist) factions within the National Party and the National Party's subsequent fusion with the South African Party. Unemployment programs were begun that focused primarily on the white population.
Soviet Union
The
Soviet Union was the world's only socialist state with very little
international trade. Its economy was not tied to the rest of the world
and was mostly unaffected by the Great Depression.
At the
time of the Depression, the Soviet economy was growing steadily, fuelled
by intensive investment in heavy industry. The apparent economic
success of the Soviet Union at a time when the capitalist world was in
crisis led many Western intellectuals to view the Soviet system
favorably. Jennifer Burns wrote:
As the Great Depression ground on and unemployment soared, intellectuals began unfavorably comparing their faltering capitalist economy to Russian Communism [...] More than ten years after the Revolution, Communism was finally reaching full flower, according to New York Times reporter Walter Duranty, a Stalin fan who vigorously debunked accounts of the Ukraine famine, a man-made disaster that would leave millions dead.
Due to
having very little international trade and its policy of isolation, they
did not receive the benefits of international trade once the depression
ran its course, and were still effectively poorer than most developed
countries at their worst sufferings in the crisis.
The
Great Depression caused mass immigration to the Soviet Union, mostly
from Finland and Germany. Soviet Russia was at first happy to help these
immigrants settle, because they believed they were victims of
capitalism who had come to help the Soviet cause. However, when the
Soviet Union entered the war in 1941, most of these Germans and Finns
were arrested and sent to Siberia, while their Russian-born children
were placed in orphanages. Their fate remains unknown.
Spain
Spain
had a relatively isolated economy, with high protective tariffs and was
not one of the main countries affected by the Depression. The banking
system held up well, as did agriculture.
By far the most
serious negative impact came after 1936 from the heavy destruction of
infrastructure and manpower by the civil war, 1936–39. Many talented
workers were forced into permanent exile. By staying neutral in the
Second World War, and selling to both sides, the
economy avoided further disasters.
Sweden
By the 1930s, Sweden had what America's Life magazine called in 1938 the "world's highest standard of living". Sweden was also the first country worldwide to recover completely from the Great Depression. Taking place amid a short-lived government and a less-than-a-decade old Swedish democracy, events such as those surrounding Ivar Kreuger (who eventually committed suicide) remain infamous in Swedish history.
The Social Democrats under Per Albin Hansson formed their first long-lived government in 1932 based on strong interventionist and welfare state policies, monopolizing the office of Prime Minister until 1976 with the sole and short-lived exception of Axel Pehrsson-Bramstorp's "summer cabinet" in 1936. During forty years of hegemony, it was the most successful political party in the history of Western liberal democracy.
Thailand
In Thailand, then known as the Kingdom of Siam, the Great Depression contributed to the end of the absolute monarchy of King Rama VII in the Siamese revolution of 1932.
United Kingdom
The
World Depression broke at a time when the United Kingdom had still not
fully recovered from the effects of the First World War more than a
decade earlier. The country was driven off the gold standard in 1931.
The
world financial crisis began to overwhelm Britain in 1931; investors
around the world started withdrawing their gold from London at the rate
of £2.5 million per day. Credits of £25 million each from the Bank
of France and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and an issue of £15
million fiduciary note slowed, but did not reverse the British crisis.
The financial crisis now caused a major political crisis in Britain in
August 1931. With deficits mounting, the bankers demanded a balanced
budget; the divided cabinet of Prime Minister Ramsay MacDonald's Labour
government agreed; it proposed to raise taxes, cut spending and most
controversially, to cut unemployment benefits by 20%.
The attack on
welfare was totally unacceptable to the Labour movement. MacDonald
wanted to resign, but King George V insisted he remain and form an
all-party coalition "National Government". The Conservative and Liberals
parties signed on, along with a small cadre of Labour, but the vast
majority of Labour leaders denounced MacDonald as a traitor for leading
the new government. Britain went off the gold standard, and suffered
relatively less than other major countries in the Great Depression. In
the 1931 British election, the Labour Party was virtually destroyed,
leaving MacDonald as Prime Minister for a largely Conservative
coalition.
The effects on the northern industrial areas
of Britain were immediate and devastating, as demand for traditional
industrial products collapsed. By the end of 1930 unemployment had more
than doubled from 1 million to 2.5 million (20% of the insured
workforce), and exports had fallen in value by 50%. In 1933, 30% of
Glaswegians were unemployed due to the severe decline in heavy industry.
In some towns and cities in the north east, unemployment reached as
high as 70% as shipbuilding fell by 90%. The National Hunger March
of September–October 1932 was the largest of a series of hunger
marches in Britain in the 1920s and 1930s. About 200,000 unemployed men
were sent to the work camps, which continued in operation until
1939.
In the less industrial Midlands and Southern England,
the effects were short-lived and the later 1930s were a prosperous time.
Growth in modern manufacture of electrical goods and a boom in the
motor car industry was helped by a growing southern population and an
expanding middle class. Agriculture also saw a boom during this
period.
United States
Unemployed men standing in line outside a depression soup kitchen in Chicago 1931.
Hoover's
first measures to combat the depression were based on encouraging
businesses not to reduce their workforce or cut wages but businesses had
little choice: wages were reduced, workers were laid off, and
investments postponed.
In June 1930, Congress approved
the Smoot–Hawley Tariff Act which raised tariffs on thousands of
imported items. The intent of the Act was to encourage the purchase of
American-made products by increasing the cost of imported goods, while
raising revenue for the federal government and protecting farmers. Most
countries that traded with the U.S. increased tariffs on American-made
goods in retaliation, reducing international trade, and worsening the
Depression.
In 1931, Hoover urged bankers to set up the
National Credit Corporation so that big banks could help failing
banks survive. But bankers were reluctant to invest in failing banks,
and the National Credit Corporation did almost nothing to address the
problem.
Burning shacks on the Anacostia flats, Washington, D.C. put up by the Bonus Army (World War I veterans) after the marchers with their wives and children were driven out by the regular Army by order of President Hoover, 1932.
By 1932, unemployment had reached 23.6%, peaking in early 1933 at 25%. Those releasing from prison during this period had an especially difficult time finding employment given the stigma of their criminal records, which often led to recidivism out of economic desperation. Drought persisted in the agricultural heartland, businesses and families defaulted on record numbers of loans, and more than 5,000 banks had failed.
Hundreds of thousands of Americans found themselves homeless, and began congregating in shanty towns – dubbed "Hoovervilles" – that began to appear across the country. In response, President Hoover and Congress approved the Federal Home Loan Bank Act, to spur new home construction, and reduce foreclosures. The final attempt of the Hoover Administration to stimulate the economy was the passage of the Emergency Relief and Construction Act (ERA) which included funds for public works programs such as dams and the creation of the Reconstruction Finance Corporation (RFC) in 1932.
The Reconstruction Finance Corporation was a
Federal agency with the authority to lend up to $2 billion to rescue
banks and restore confidence in financial institutions. But $2 billion
was not enough to save all the banks, and bank runs and bank failures
continued. Quarter by quarter the economy went downhill, as prices,
profits and employment fell, leading to the political realignment in
1932 that brought to power Franklin Delano Roosevelt. It is important to
note, however, that after volunteerism failed, Hoover developed ideas
that laid the framework for parts of the New Deal.
Buried machinery in a barn lot; South Dakota, May 1936. The Dust Bowl on the Great Plains coincided with the Great Depression.
Shortly after President Franklin Delano Roosevelt was inaugurated in 1933, drought and erosion combined to cause the Dust Bowl, shifting hundreds of thousands of displaced persons off their farms in the Midwest. From his inauguration onward, Roosevelt argued that restructuring of the economy would be needed to prevent another depression or avoid prolonging the current one. New Deal programs sought to stimulate demand and provide work and relief for the impoverished through increased government spending and the institution of financial reforms.
During a "bank holiday" that lasted five days, the Emergency Banking Act was signed into law. It provided for a system of reopening sound banks under Treasury supervision, with federal loans available if needed. The Securities Act of 1933 comprehensively regulated the securities industry. This was followed by the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 which created the Securities and Exchange Commission. Although amended, key provisions of both Acts are still in force. Federal insurance of bank deposits was provided by the FDIC, and the Glass–Steagall Act.
The Agricultural Adjustment Act provided incentives to cut farm production in order to raise farming prices. The National Recovery Administration (NRA) made a number of sweeping changes to the American economy. It forced businesses to work with government to set price codes through the NRA to fight deflationary "cut-throat competition" by the setting of minimum prices and wages, labor standards, and competitive conditions in all industries. It encouraged unions that would raise wages, to increase the purchasing power of the working class. The NRA was deemed unconstitutional by the Supreme Court of the United States in 1935.
CCC workers constructing drainage culvert, 1933. Over 3 million unemployed young men were taken out of the cities and placed into 2,600+ work camps managed by the CCC.
These reforms, together with several other relief and recovery measures, are called the First New Deal. Economic stimulus was attempted through a new alphabet soup of agencies set up in 1933 and 1934 and previously extant agencies such as the Reconstruction Finance Corporation. By 1935, the "Second New Deal" added Social Security (which was later considerably extended through the Fair Deal), a jobs program for the unemployed (the Works Progress Administration, WPA) and, through the National Labor Relations Board, a strong stimulus to the growth of labor unions. In 1929, federal expenditures constituted only 3% of the GDP. The national debt as a proportion of GNP rose under Hoover from 20% to 40%. Roosevelt kept it at 40% until the war began, when it soared to 128%.
By 1936, the main economic indicators had regained the levels of the late 1920s, except for unemployment, which remained high at 11%, although this was considerably lower than the 25% unemployment rate seen in 1933. In the spring of 1937, American industrial production exceeded that of 1929 and remained level until June 1937. In June 1937, the Roosevelt administration cut spending and increased taxation in an attempt to balance the federal budget. The American economy then took a sharp downturn, lasting for 13 months through most of 1938. Industrial production fell almost 30 per cent within a few months and production of durable goods fell even faster. Unemployment jumped from 14.3% in 1937 to 19.0% in 1938, rising from 5 million to more than 12 million in early 1938. Manufacturing output fell by 37% from the 1937 peak and was back to 1934 levels.
The WPA employed 2–3 million at unskilled labor.
Producers
reduced their expenditures on durable goods, and inventories declined,
but personal income was only 15% lower than it had been at the peak in
1937. As unemployment rose, consumers' expenditures declined, leading to
further cutbacks in production. By May 1938 retail sales began to
increase, employment improved, and industrial production turned up after
June 1938. After the recovery from the Recession of 1937–38,
conservatives were able to form a bipartisan conservative coalition to
stop further expansion of the New Deal and, when unemployment dropped to
2% in the early 1940s, they abolished WPA, CCC and the PWA relief
programs. Social Security remained in place.
Between 1933 and
1939, federal expenditure tripled, and Roosevelt's critics charged that
he was turning America into a socialist state. The Great Depression
was a main factor in the implementation of social democracy and planned
economies in European countries after World War II.
Keynesianism generally remained the most influential economic school in
the United States and in parts of Europe until the periods between the
1970s and the 1980s, when Milton Friedman and other neoliberal
economists formulated and propagated the newly created theories of
neoliberalism and incorporated them into the Chicago School of Economics
as an alternative approach to the study of economics.
Neoliberalism
went on to challenge the dominance of the Keynesian school of Economics
in the mainstream academia and policy-making in the United States,
having reached its peak in popularity in the election of the presidency
of Ronald Reagan in the United States, and Margaret Thatcher in the
United Kingdom.