Monetary Policy and the Fed
Read this chapter to understand in more detail the monetary policy tools, process, and impacts on the U.S. economy. Review specific monetary policies and their effects from our recent history.
Monetary Policy and the Equation of Exchange
Case in Point: Velocity and the Confederacy
The Union and the
Confederacy financed their respective efforts during the Civil War
largely through the issue of paper money. The Union roughly doubled its
money supply through this process, and the Confederacy printed enough
"Confederates" to increase the money supply in the South 20-fold from
1861 to 1865. That huge increase in the money supply boosted the price
level in the Confederacy dramatically. It rose from an index of 100 in
1861 to 9,200 in 1865.
Estimates of real GDP in the South during
the Civil War are unavailable, but it could hardly have increased very
much. Although production undoubtedly rose early in the period, the
South lost considerable capital and an appalling number of men killed in
battle. Let us suppose that real GDP over the entire period remained
constant. For the price level to rise 92-fold with a 20-fold increase in
the money supply, there must have been a 4.6-fold increase in velocity.
People in the South must have reduced their demand for Confederates.
An
account of an exchange for eggs in 1864 from the diary of Mary Chestnut
illustrates how eager people in the South were to part with their
Confederate money. It also suggests that other commodities had assumed
much greater relative value:
"She asked me 20 dollars for five
dozen eggs and then said she would take it in "Confederate". Then I
would have given her 100 dollars as easily. But if she had taken my
offer of yarn! I haggle in yarn for the millionth part of a thread! …
When they ask for Confederate money, I never stop to chafer [bargain or
argue]. I give them 20 or 50 dollars cheerfully for anything".