CHAPTER 8 LAYERED BITCOIN
It might make sense just to get some in case it catches
on. If enough people think the same way, that becomes
a self-fulfilling prophecy.
- Satoshi Nakamoto, January 16, 2009
Bitcoin
has become its own monetary pyramid due
to its properties as a first-layer money. The pyramid is
reminiscent of gold-anchored pyramids of the past, but BTC
doesn't derive its first-layer status solely from comparisons
and metaphors; Satoshi designed a digital asset that specifically
mimicked precious metals in order to attract demand.
The exponential increase in Bitcoin's market value only reinforces
the thesis of its first believers like Hal Finney. Second-layer BTC
emerged for the same reasons second-layer gold
did. People were willing to hold claims on BTC just as people
held claims on gold. The emerging world of digital assets is
anchored by BTC in a similar way that the international monetary
system was anchored by gold, as described in the first
five chapters of this book. BTC is a neutral, counterparty-free
money like gold that people trust as a form of final settlement.
This chapter is about the layered BTC-denominated monetary system and
how BTC exerts dominance over the entire
realm of digital assets.
Owning Physical
Those that strive to own first-layer money often use the phrase "owning physical" to describe the act of owning precious metal
in a physical form instead of second-layer gold certificates,
shares, or any other promise to pay gold. They are acutely
aware of the distinction between first- and second-layer gold
and choose to own physical coins and bullion instead of gold
substitutes. It comes down to trust: they only trust physical
because physical means counterparty-free. Bitcoin has the
same international neutrality that gold has; it doesn't depend
on any specific people, companies, or countries for it to survive.
But Bitcoin has some advantages to gold in the modern age. It
exists on computers anywhere and everywhere. It doesn't need
to be transported around the world on armored trucks, ships,
and airplanes. It also doesn't call for purity testing that enlists
expensive equipment, only a Bitcoin node.
Bitcoin's pyramid is anchored by physical ownership of
BTC, which begins with the management of Bitcoin private
keys. Much like ownership of physical gold relies heavily on
vault and security technology, Bitcoin private keys require
security precision to avoid loss and theft. The secure and
offline storage of BTC is called cold storage; implying that
private keys are not generated or stored online in hot wallets.
Cold storage is a booming business. Fidelity Investments,
one of the world's largest financial institutions with over $3
trillion in assets under management, launched its own cold
storage subsidiary called Fidelity Digital Assets in 2018 to
hold BTC on behalf of large clients. Bitcoin isn't exclusively
merging the monetary and cryptography sciences; it's also
merging the financial and applied cryptography industries.
We must note that with the introduction of large BTC
custodians, their customers will not own first-layer BTC.
Customers will own second-layer BTC because they won't be
in possession of BTC private keys; the custodian will. As the
saying goes among the Bitcoin community, "not your keys,
not your coins". And of course, custodians will be subject
to government regulation within their jurisdictions. Some
governments have proven friendly toward Bitcoin as a new
monetary technology, but that stance won't be fully mirrored
around the world because of Bitcoin's potential to supplant
unstable government currencies.
BTC/USD
There is now a wide array of second-layer BTC money-types. Some instruments mirror the financial arrangements of today's traditional financial system, like deposits. Others are novel and only possible since the inception of Bitcoin. The fi rst examples of second-layer BTC were deposits issued by online BTC/USD exchanges, as shown in Figure 14.
Figure 14
During 2010, the earliest Bitcoin exchanges were formed in order to facilitate trading between BTC and U.S. dollars. They demonstrated something very important about Bitcoin: an active market existed between people that wanted trade between BTC and USD. Bitcoin was designed as a currency and was being used exactly as intended hardly a year after its genesis. Another common criticism of Bitcoin is that it can't be used to purchase goods or services because most businesses don't accept BTC as a form of payment. This objection misses the point that BTC can be used to purchase the most important commodity of all: money. On exchanges today, BTC buys its owners USD, EUR, and any other major currency they might choose.
An exchange rate between BTC and USD was established in 2010, which bolstered BTC's liquidity and its
perception as a new alternative form of money. Customer
balances on Bitcoin exchanges were the initial form of second-layer BTC; the balances were claims on BTC but not
ownership of private keys themselves. Some exchanges would
build stellar reputations by allowing free-flowing BTC withdrawals upon request and having full, not fractional, BTC
reserves against all deposits. Others would default on customer balances just like banks had defaulted on deposits over
the centuries, whether caused by a cyberattack, theft, or fractional reserves. Despite some early failures, trust in Bitcoin
exchanges developed as a cornerstone piece in the Bitcoin
monetary puzzle, and almost immediately, the time value of
BTC presented itself: customers with deposits could lend
their collateral to other traders at an interest rate.
Legitimacy
It only took Bitcoin half a decade to achieve legitimacy as a new global currency. Undeniably, it wasn't the darling of governments or the financial industry because of its disruptive and decentralized nature, but it achieved enough market value, venture capital attention, and legal designations to bring it into the mainstream conversation. By 2014, Bitcoin had become a geopolitical force. As the network flourished, it attracted value, study, and investment, which in turn attracted more value. During this period, entrepreneurs started to build an entire infrastructure and industry around Bitcoin because it had become globally accepted as unforgeable digital money. Events in Bitcoin's early history chronicle its quest to become a force of nature and an eradicable fixture in the world of currency.
In its first year, Bitcoin had no value attached to it whatsoever. It didn't have a price, but it did have people that believed in the project and that BTC was worth the electricity, computing power, and effort invested to earn it. This made it money already, as it was a way to store work that had been performed; proof-of-work and Bitcoin mining can be thought of as a form of labor. The highly publicized, earliest Bitcoin transaction occurred when in May 2010, one Bitcoin software developer paid an online acquaintance 10,000 BTC for a $25 Papa John's pizza order, equating to a BTC/USD price of $0.0025. The transaction valued the total market value of BTC at approximately $7,000.
On February 10, 2011, the tech blog Slashdot posted
an
article titled "Online-Only Currency Bitcoin Reaches Dollar
Parity". Because of Slashdot's popularity among software engineers,
many early Bitcoin adopters reference this specific article as the
moment they first heard about Bitcoin. After this
first slice of internet publicity, barely two years into the
project, Bitcoin started to gain serious popularity and attention.
A growing community of users all believed in this new monetary form
and agreed that the predetermined supply schedule was worth protecting.
Soon, enough developers and mind
share coalesced around the network, and Satoshi bid adieu.
As of this writing, the estimated one million BTC that he
mined during the first year of Bitcoin's existence has never
been transacted.
The total market value of BTC passed $100 million in
June 2011 around the same time as the website Gawker published an article titled "The Underground Website Where
You Can Buy Any Drug Imaginable". The Silk Road was an
online black market, most widely used for the buying and
selling of illegal drugs on the Internet. As a new, online,
decentralized digital currency not yet on the radar of law
enforcement, BTC was the perfect currency for Silk Road
users. In Bitcoin, there was no bank that could flag suspicious
transactions, no cash that had to be sent through the mail or
exchanged in person, and conveniently no law enforcement
to monitor the Bitcoin ledger for transactions. Without any-
body looking, Bitcoin transactions might as well have been
anonymous. The Gawker article explained that one must first
go to a Bitcoin exchange to purchase BTC in order to participate in this online marketplace:
As for transactions, Silk Road doesn't accept credit cards, PayPal, or
any other form of payment that can be traced or blocked. The only
money good here is Bitcoins.
The Federal Bureau of
Investigations eventually opened
an inquiry and shut down the Silk Road. The FBI seized
BTC during its operation and faced new truths about money
in the digital era. From that point on, law enforcement from
around the world began to monitor Bitcoin's ledger for suspicious
activity in order to hunt down criminals. Law enforcement developed ways
to associate Bitcoin transactions with
internet location data in order to do this. After law enforcement
agencies started monitoring the Bitcoin ledger, Bitcoin
was no longer the ideal currency for criminal activity, rather
far from it. This disassociation boosted the legitimacy of
Bitcoin in a pivotal way.
On November 28, 2012, Bitcoin's first halving event took
place after its 210,000th block was mined and the mining
reward for each block "halved" from 50 BTC to 25 BTC.
While the moment passed without any fl are or drama from
a blockchain perspective, it was paramount from a monetary one. When Satoshi designed the first working version
of the Bitcoin software code, he outlined a monetary policy
that stretched out over a century into the future. Then after
four years in existence, Bitcoin's network experienced its first
supply adjustment without drama, greed, or objection from
any of its participants. The predetermined supply schedule, a
supply halving after each epoch, and a maximum total supply of 21 million BTC were all stipulations of the network
that were observed, not questioned. Satoshi had invented
non-discretionary monetary policy wherein human discretion could never alter the supply algorithm of Bitcoin. The
awareness of this awe-inspiring invention and strength of
consensus drove an investment thesis for Bitcoin; it was a
currency that couldn't be expanded in supply or devalued.
Bitcoin had arrived as digital gold.
In 2013, the price of BTC/USD exploded, rising above
$1,000 and giving the network a total market value of $10 billion. The Financial Times, Wall Street Journal, and Bloomberg
started publishing articles about Bitcoin and the growing
cryptocurrency industry with regularity, and Bitcoin's brand
started to gain recognition. Government officials likely
belittled the idea of decentralized cryptocurrency because
Bitcoin's lack of a central issuer had stoked a discussion
about the separation between money and governments.
Bitcoin officially gained recognition in the eyes of the
United States government in 2014, progressing toward legitimacy and past the ugly brushstrokes left by the Silk Road
era. The IRS determined that ownership of BTC was to be
treated as property and that gains realized in USD terms
were subject to capital gain taxes. This was an admission by
the U.S. government that owning BTC was an unmistakable
form of property like real estate or physical gold and should
be taxed as such.
Additionally, the U.S. commodity futures regulator ruled
that Bitcoin was indeed a commodity and not a currency. It
compared Bitcoin to gold in its own research process and
concluded that ownership of BTC is possession of a numerical commodity due to the software's reliance on private keys.
Bitcoin was starting to morph into its own asset class, despite
being difficult to define in the traditional context because of
its novel characteristics.
By 2014, even the U.S. government was fully aware of the monetary evolution taking place. Bitcoin attracted savers in countries with poor governing stability and property rights who desired a borderless, seizure-resistant money. It attracted savers within a dollar denomination that had lost faith in the Federal Reserve as a source of monetary discipline. Bona fide demand for Bitcoin existed throughout every corner of the planet. In 2017, Bitcoin's total market value exploded past $100 billion in its most dramatic price surge yet. The exponential growth of Bitcoin had become undeniable.
Tulips
During the seventeenth century and a few decades after the
founding of the Bank of Amsterdam, a speculative price
bubble occurred in Dutch tulip bulbs. As a beautiful luxury item, tulips became all the rage in the Netherlands as
everybody wanted a piece of the highly coveted commodity.
Prices of bulbs exploded and then collapsed shortly there-
after, as all speculative bubbles do. The word bubble would
be used throughout history to describe increases in the price
of an asset that seemed unfathomable to many, increases
that would unquestionably and consistently end in ruinous
decline. Of course, many have fruitlessly tried to associate the
word bubble with Bitcoin.
Bitcoin's exponential price rise since its birth continues
to bring about cries of a bubble and comparisons to Dutch
tulips despite having fully recovered from intimidating 80%
price declines now on three separate occasions. The BTC/
USD price is breathtakingly volatile, far outstretching price
fluctuations we typically see across other asset classes. Its
volatility, however, is not a reflection of asset quality or even
excellence. If Bitcoin truly is to grow from an adolescent
monetary network to the basis of an international monetary
system, surely the ups and downs on its way will mimic a
formidable rollercoaster. If the market value of BTC were
to equal the market value of all the world's gold, the BTC/
USD price would reach approximately $500,000. It is safe
to assume that the journey from less than $1 to $500,000
would come with its fair share of frenetic price swings, both
up and down. These vacillations are ingrained into Bitcoin's
maturation and will separate early adopters from those who
will wait for the price to stabilize in USD terms. None of
this volatility, however, precludes BTC from being a store
of value and an alternative to currencies based on aging
archetypes.
In reality, Bitcoin is nothing like the Dutch tulip mania.
Bubbles don't burst three times in a decade and come back
stronger each resurgence, and the investing public is finally
waking up to this fact. In 2020, some of the most legendary hedge fund investors of this generation, Paul Tudor
Jones and Stanley Druckenmiller, acknowledged ownership of BTC. Investment management powerhouses such
as AllianceBernstein, Blackrock, and Fidelity Investments
made public recommendations for clients to have BTC in
their portfolios as a hedge against the devaluation or demise
of government currencies. PayPal, the world's largest online
payment processor, gave its 300 million global customers the
ability to purchase BTC on its platform. It began to become
clear to the investing community that denying Bitcoin's place
in the future of money was like denying the Internet's place
in the future of commerce in 1999. Internet stocks might
have experienced a speculative price bubble at the turn of the
twenty-first century, but the world's biggest publicly traded
corporations today are Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Alphabet
(Google), and Facebook, which have generated trillions of
dollars in market value thanks to the Internet.
The flurry of endorsements preceded the BTC/USD price reaching a new all-time high at the beginning of 2021 as the total market value eclipsed $600 billion. What was once a digital token attached to a hobbyist software worth less than a penny in 2010 had become a $34,000 commodity only a decade later. The famous $25 Papa John's pizza trade would be worth $340 million on Bitcoin's twelfth birthday, January 3, 2021. Figure 15 shows the meteoric rise in BTC's total market value since 2010.
Figure 15
Lightning Network
Lightning Network is a technological enhancement to Bitcoin
that positively transforms it from a slower-moving commodity like physical gold to a currency moving at lightspeed. And
the key ingredient to the Lightning Network is the smart
contract. Generally, smart contracts are programmable agreements capable of anything that can be coded into software.
For the objective of Bitcoin, smart contracts are most importantly capable of escrow and multiple-party coordination. The
smart contracts in Lightning Network, Hashed TimeLock
Contracts (HTLCs), have scaled Bitcoin into a monetary network capable of processing millions of transactions per second.
Let's take a closer look at how Lightning Network evolved.
In the first couple years of the Bitcoin network, a small
contingent of Bitcoin enthusiasts contributed their own ideas
and improvements to the project. They fixed some critical
vulnerabilities that could have abruptly ended the network
before it caught momentum. These software engineers and
cryptographers worked on Bitcoin because they had conviction in the technology, owned BTC, and wanted the net-
work to succeed. They weren't receiving an income from any
employer; they were working out of belief in a new denomination. Over the years, they graduated Bitcoin from a project
to a legitimate global monetary network.
The most crucial updates that transitioned Bitcoin to a smart contract platform occurred from 2015 to 2017. These Bitcoin Improvement Proposals (BIPs) turned one-dimensional Bitcoin transactions into wildly customizable financial contracts, without changing any of Bitcoin's fundamental rules.
In 2016, a paper from software engineers Joseph Poon
and Thaddeus Dryja called "The Bitcoin Lightning Network:
Scalable Off-Chain Instant Payments" built upon all the
smart contract innovation happening on the Bitcoin soft-
ware. The paper was a proposal for a new type of Bitcoin
smart contract (HTLCs) that enabled instantly settling payments without having to wait for the next block to be mined.
Lightning Network not only infinitely increases Bitcoin's
capability as a medium of exchange but also allows for innovations such as paying for online streaming by the millisecond. And in the digital age of streaming everything, why
shouldn't money stream as well?
Lightning Network also brings a new dimension to the
time value of BTC. Users that provide BTC as collateral to
Lightning Network in order to facilitate transactions can
potentially earn income from providing this liquidity. This
is a historically unprecedented way to earn a return on capital without ever relinquishing custody of it because collateral providers don't actually part ways with their BTC when
dedicating it to Lightning Network. Interest rates derived
from this type of activity could function as a reference rate in
the Bitcoin world because of Lightning Network's uniquely
counterparty-free nature. The very concept of the time value
of money is changing as these new technologies permeate the
monetary landscape.
Alternative Cryptocurrencies
Bitcoin copycats were inevitable. Bitcoin is a free and open-
source software, which means that the software is free to
download and open to view by anybody. On multiple occasions, Bitcoin has resisted fundamental changes to its rulebook
from developers that were out of consensus with the majority of Bitcoin users. Alternative versions of cryptocurrency
to Bitcoin emerged, whether copied directly, tweaked, or reimagined. If ideas better than Bitcoin existed, capital would
gravitate toward these alternatives and away from Bitcoin.
So far, however, no cryptocurrency has challenged BTC over
any sustained duration, measured in both market value and
hashpower. Alternative cryptocurrencies exist on a lower layer
within the BTC money pyramid due to a price relationship,
much like national currencies existed on a layer below the
dollar after the Bretton Woods agreement of 1944. Like the
USD acts as the base price for currencies from around the
world, BTC acts as a base price for all digital currencies.
BTC also acts as a monetary constraint on lower layers of its own pyramid because it's unforgeable, but this doesn't prevent the issuance of second-layer BTC or any other digital asset. Whether classified as copycats or money-grabs, a volcano of cryptocurrencies erupted after the early success of Bitcoin. Exchanges added cryptocurrencies to their plat- forms which notably traded against BTC, not USD, as their base currency. A new asset class of digital token-based cur- rencies is here, and BTC functions as the final form of settlement within that digital realm.
BTC will never be alone as a digital asset; it will always
have both ancillary and auxiliary assets. But it is the one unit
of account on which others in the digital universe can rely
on for incorruptibility. The Bitcoin protocol's dominance as
the primary value-transfer protocol of the Internet will likely
endure for decades to come, much like how the Transmission Control Protocol, Internet Protocol, and Hypertext Transfer
Protocol (TCP/IP/HTTP) dominate our digital interactions every day when we connect to the Internet or browse
the web.
Stablecoins
A rapidly growing second layer within Bitcoin's monetary
pyramid is a new type of digital asset called stablecoins.
Stablecoins are liabilities issued in the form of digital tokens
by private sector companies. These stablecoins are supposed
to trade at a "stable" value relative to dollars, for example.
The moniker of "stable" is a bit of an oxymoron in this case
because as we've learned, monetary instruments on lower layers of money rarely possess enduring stability. Stablecoins:
digital coins that are stable until they aren't.
Stablecoins were invented because exchanges needed
an easier and quicker way for customers to convert between
BTC and USD. In essence, exchanges create their own cryptocurrencies that represent USD in a bank account but are
transacted with private keys and addresses just like Bitcoin.
The most famous stablecoin is one that has yet to launch:
Facebook's Diem (originally called Libra). Its intent is to be
backed by U.S. Treasury Bills and other dollar-denominated
monetary instruments. Whether or not Diem launches,
Facebook's announcement of a stablecoin in 2019 was a
major landmark for digital money. The moment Facebook
attempted to encroach upon the world of money was the
moment central banks knew they needed a formal response
to the merger of money and cryptography. Private sector banks are also looking to capitalize on the demand for dollar-
pegged, ledger-based digital tokens: J.P. Morgan launched
its own stablecoin, called JPM Coin, in 2020.
In January 2021, the U.S. Treasury issued a definitive
guidance on the legality of cryptocurrencies and stable-
coins in a report from the Office of the Comptroller of the
Currency (OCC). The guidance names both cryptocurrencies and distributed ledgers independent node verification net-
works (INVNs), formally defines the word "stablecoin" exactly
as we have in this section, and approves both of them for use
by banks to digitally transact value as long as banking laws
are followed. The ruling was proof that the future monetary
rails would be built with the backbone of cryptography:
We therefore conclude that a bank may validate, store, and record
payments transactions by serving as a node on an INVN. Likewise,
a bank may use INVNs and related stablecoins to carry out other
permissible payment activities. A bank must conduct these activities
consistent with applicable law and safe and sound banking practices.
Commodity Futures
Though New York is the banking capital of the United States,
Chicago has always been its commodity hedging capital.
During the nineteenth century, Chicago standardized the
world of forward and futures contracts, allowing farmers to
contractually sell their crop before it harvested. In 1898, standardization of butter and egg futures contracts led to the formation of the Chicago Butter and Egg Board, the predecessor
to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), which today
is the world's largest derivatives exchange. The CME would
add practically every commodity imaginable to its range of
futures products over the years, from live cattle futures in 1964,
to silver futures in 1969, to Bitcoin futures in 2017.
In 2016, when the CME announced plans to publish
Bitcoin price data in preparation for a launch of Bitcoin futures
the following year, the weight of Chicago as the worldwide
authority on commodities was thrown behind Bitcoin and
significantly added to its legitimacy. CME Bitcoin futures
help financial market participants translate between BTC
and USD, which will directly contribute to Bitcoin's adoption. Businesses can engage in BTC-denominated activity knowing that they can actively manage away unwanted
exchange rate risk. Additionally, Bitcoin futures off er a second-layer BTC to participants that operate only within the
dollar pyramid and simply want exposure to changes in the
price of BTC, not possession of Bitcoin private keys. CME's
product brought Bitcoin forward on its path to full integration with the traditional financial system.
Layered Bitcoin
As worldwide adoption of Bitcoin as a currency and as a monetary mindset continue, Bitcoin's second layer is blossoming
with a variety of BTC-based promises, alternative cryptocurrencies, and stablecoins. Figure 16 shows that Bitcoin is at the
top of its own novel monetary pyramid, with some second-
layer monies stemming from balance sheets and others from
price relationships.
Figure 16