Independent and Dependent Events

Site: Saylor Academy
Course: GKT101: General Knowledge for Teachers – Math
Book: Independent and Dependent Events
Printed by: Guest user
Date: Saturday, May 18, 2024, 2:02 PM

Description

Watch this lecture series to see more various examples of calculating probabilities of independent and dependent events. When the outcome of one event depends on the outcome of another, the events are considered dependent. Complete the interactive exercises

Compound probability of independent events



Source: Khan Academy, https://www.khanacademy.org/math/precalculus/x9e81a4f98389efdf:prob-comb
Creative Commons License This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 License.

Independent events example: test taking

General multiplication rule example: independent events

Dependent probability introduction

General multiplication rule example: dependent events

Interpreting general multiplication rule

Practice

   

Probability with general multiplication rule - Questions

1. Ana is a teacher who plays a review game with her class. The game involves writing each student's name on an identical slip of paper and selecting students at random. Here's the makeup of her class:

\begin{array}{lccc}\text { Grade } & 9^{\text {th }} & 10^{\text {th }} & 11^{\text {th }} \\\hline \text { Number of students } & 12 & 9 & 7\end{array}

Suppose that Ana picks a name, replaces it, and picks a name again.

What is the probability that NEITHER of the students selected are 9^{\text {th }} graders?

Round your answer to two decimal places.

_________

2. An airport has an electronic system that randomly selects bags for extra security screening. Each bag has a 14 \% probability of being selected for extra screening, and one bag being selected or not doesn't affect whether or not another bag will be selected.

Suppose that 2 bags go through the system, one after the other.

What is the probability that both bags are selected for extra screening?

Round your answer to two decimal places.

_________
3. Hamid is playing a trivia game with multiple choice questions. Each question has 2 correct answers among 5 answer choices.

Hamid has no idea what the answers to a certain question are, so he needs to choose two different answers at random.

What is the probability that Hamid guesses both answers correctly?

Round your answer to two decimal places.

_________
4. Sammy and Hannah are finalists in a cooking competition. For the final round, each of them will randomly select a card without replacement that will reveal what their star ingredient must be. Here are the available cards:



Sammy and Hannah both want to get leeks as their star ingredient. Sammy will draw first, followed by Hannah.

What is the probability that NEITHER contestant draws leeks?

Round your answer to two decimal places.

_________

Probability with general multiplication rule - Answers

1. The probability that neither of the students selected are 9^{\text {th }} graders is about 0.33.

2. The probability that both bags are selected for extra screening is about 0.02.

3. The probability that Hamid guesses both answers correctly is 0.1.

4. The probability that both contestants get the ingredient they want is about 0.67.

Interpret probabilities of compound events - Questions

1. Contestants on a gameshow spin a wheel with 24 equally-sized segments. Most of those segments show different prize amounts, but 2 of them are labeled "bankrupt":


Suppose that a contestant is going to spin the wheel twice in a row. Here are some events and their meanings:

\begin{array}{cl}\hline \text { Event } & \text { Meaning } \\\hline B_{1} & \text { The first spin lands on bankrupt. } \\\hline B_{2} & \text { The second spin lands on bankrupt. } \\\hline B_{1}^{C} & \text { The first spin does not land on bankrupt. } \\\hline B_{2}^{C} & \text { The second spin does not land on bankrupt. } \\\hline \end{array}

Consider this probability:

P\left(B_{1}^{C} \text { and } B_{2}^{C}\right)=P\left(B_{1}^{C}\right) \cdot P\left(B_{2}^{C} \mid B_{1}^{C}\right)

What does P\left(B_{1}^{C}\right. and \left.B_{2}^{C}\right) represent in this context?

Choose 1 answer:

(A) The probability that neither spin lands on bankrupt.

(B) The probability that both spins land on bankrupt.

(C) The probability that the first spin lands on bankrupt given the second spin lands on bankrupt.

(D) The probability that the second spin lands on bankrupt given the first spin lands on bankrupt.

2. A standard deck of 52 cards has 13 clubs, 13 diamonds, 13 hearts, and 13 spades.

Suppose that Ramón is going to draw 2 cards without replacement. Here are some events and their meanings:

\begin{array}{cl}\text { Event } & \text { Meaning } \\\hline D_{1} & \text { The first card is a diamond. } \\\hline D_{2} & \text { The second card is a diamond. } \\\hline D_{1}^{C} & \text { The first card is not a diamond. } \\\hline D_{2}^{C} & \text { The second card is not a diamond. } \\\hline\end{array}

Consider this probability:

P\left(D_{1}^{C} \text { and } D_{2}^{C}\right)=P\left(D_{1}^{C}\right) \cdot P\left(D_{2}^{C} \mid D_{1}^{C}\right)

What does P\left(D_{1}^{C}\right. and \left.D_{2}^{C}\right) represent in this context?

Choose 1 answer:

(A) The probability that neither card is a diamond.

(B) The probability that both cards are diamonds.

(C) The probability that the second card is a diamond given the first card is a diamond.

(D) The probability that the second card is a diamond given the first card is NOT a diamond.

3. Youssef is a basketball player who regularly shoots sets of 2 free-throws. Here are some events and their meanings:

\begin{array}{cl}\hline  \text { Event } & \text { Meaning } \\\hline S_{1} & \text { He makes the first shot. } \\\hline S_{2} & \text { He makes the second shot. } \\\hline S_{1}^{C} & \text { He misses the first shot. } \\\hline  S_{2}^{C} & \text { He misses the second shot. } \\\hline \end{array}

Suppose that Youssef is going to shoot 2 free-throws. Consider this probability:

P\left(S_{1}^{C}\right. and \left.S_{2}^{C}\right)=P\left(S_{1}^{C}\right) \cdot P\left(S_{2}^{C} \mid S_{1}^{C}\right)

What does P\left(S_{1}^{C}\right. and \left.S_{2}^{C}\right) represent in this context?

Choose 1 answer:

(A) The probability that Youssef makes both shots.

(B) The probability that Youssef misses both shots.

(C) The probability that Youssef makes the second shot given he misses the first.

(D) The probability that Youssef misses the second shot given he makes the first.

4. Contestants on a gameshow spin a wheel with 24 equally-sized segments. Most of those segments show different prize amounts, but 2 of them are labeled "bankrupt":


Suppose that a contestant is going to spin the wheel twice in a row. Here are some events and their meanings:

\begin{array}{cl}\text { Event } & \text { Meaning } \\\hline B_{1} & \text { The first spin lands on bankrupt. } \\B_{2} & \text { The second spin lands on bankrupt. } \\B_{1}^{C} & \text { The first spin does not land on bankrupt. } \\B_{2}^{C} & \text { The second spin does not land on bankrupt. }\end{array}

Consider this probability:

P\left(B_{1}\right. and \left.B_{2}\right)=P\left(B_{1}\right) \cdot P\left(B_{2} \mid B_{1}\right)

What does P\left(B_{2} \mid B_{1}\right) represent in this context?

Choose 1 answer:

(A) The probability that neither spin lands on bankrupt.

(B) The probability that both spins land on bankrupt.

(C) The probability that the second spin lands on bankrupt given the first spin does NOT land on bankrupt.

(D) The probability that the second spin lands on bankrupt given the first spin lands on bankrupt.

Interpret probabilities of compound events - Answers

1. P\left(B_{1}^{C}\right. and \left.B_{2}^{C}\right) represents the probability that neither spin lands on bankrupt.

2. P\left(D_{1}^{C}\right. and \left.D_{2}^{C}\right) represents the probability that neither card is a diamond.

3. P\left(S_{1}^{C}\right. and \left.S_{2}^{C}\right) represents the probability that Youssef misses both shots.

4. P\left(B_{2} \mid B_{1}\right) represents the probability that the second spin lands on bankrupt given the first spin lands on bankrupt.